tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35651486.post6115288772478333111..comments2023-11-02T04:04:14.011-07:00Comments on petroom: Poll: A BCer is now happy.petroomhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07149820950905264744noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35651486.post-31116336881201229492007-04-21T10:04:00.000-07:002007-04-21T10:04:00.000-07:00Keep in mind, the Liberal Poll numbers in Alberta ...Keep in mind, the Liberal Poll numbers in Alberta always forecast Gloom and Doom for the party. But the Party always does much better at the polls.<BR/><BR/>For example, during the last provincial election, the Liberal Party was consistently polling 15 percent. On election day, the party received about 30 percent of the popular vote.<BR/><BR/>The problem is that the Liberal Vote in Rural Alberta is so spread out. When the polling firms dip their nets in the pond, they end up picking up a disproportionately small number of Liberals. <BR/><BR/>The only place you find any concentration of Liberals in Alberta is in Calgary and Edmonton. Hence the 17 seats. But the polling firms need to dip in every pond, not the urban pond. <BR/><BR/>As for Québec, if we lose any of those seats which we currently hold, I can assure you the Liberal Party would be in serious trouble. These are ridings which will vote Liberal, even if the candidate was a mailbox.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35651486.post-77539553002421084792007-04-21T09:34:00.000-07:002007-04-21T09:34:00.000-07:00Well, I'm relatively happy too petroom, all things...Well, I'm relatively happy too petroom, all things considered, but thanks for the clarification. :)<BR/><BR/>I wouldn't put too much stock into those Ipsos numbers though, something seems a little wonky. This is another reminder though to other pollsters though that lumping BC in with "the west" doesn't make much sense.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14971310821484459106noreply@blogger.com